Autumn Budget and Supply Chains

By Paul Kelly in News Posted: 27th, November, 2025

From new customs requirements to changes in warehouse costs and a record investment programme in infrastructure, the latest UK Budget introduces shifts that will influence route planning, landed cost structures and long-term supply chain strategy.

Positive financial-market reaction suggests renewed confidence in the UK economy, but operational pressures and new compliance obligations remain in play.

1. Business Rates & Corporate Cost Base

Retail and hospitality sectors will benefit from permanent rate reductions, but the funding mechanism impacts logistics real estate.

  • Warehouses and distribution centres valued above £500,000 will face higher rates
  • UK fulfilment costs for importers may rise
  • Businesses operating their own facilities should model 2026–2030 cost exposure

2. Labour and Taxation Changes

  • Minimum wage to rise 4.1% from April 2026
  • Frozen tax thresholds extending to 2031
  • New/revised taxes on dividends and property income

These changes may lift logistics operating costs and shape future service pricing.

3. Customs Reform

The UK will apply customs duty to parcels of any value, ending the current exemption for sub-£135 shipments.

For brands shipping into the UK, this may result in:

  • Increased customs entries
  • Higher landed duty/VAT costs
  • Consideration of EU or UK-based fulfilment hubs to maintain competitiveness
  • Rising demand for simplified processes, consolidation, and automated clearance

Full implementation may take until March 2029.

4. Infrastructure and Connectivity

The Budget allocates £120bn for long-term investment in:

  • Road and rail networks
  • Energy systems
  • Regional industrial development

For Hecny Logistics’ clients, these improvements create opportunities to:

  • Optimise domestic distribution from ports to end customers
  • Reduce inland transit times
  • Take advantage of new logistics clusters or multimodal gateways

5. Sustainability and Fleet Planning

The introduction of an EV mileage-based tax from 2028 could influence vehicle procurement decisions for companies managing their own fleets or last-mile networks.

However, incentives such as full expensing for new plant and equipment support continued investment in greener, more automated logistics assets.

To stay ahead of the Budget’s implications, you may want to:

  • Review landed cost models for low-value shipments
  • Assess future warehouse and fulfilment cost exposure
  • Strengthen customs preparedness, especially for eCommerce parcels
  • Monitor infrastructure investment for opportunities to adjust supply chain design
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